Comments on: Killer-Asteroid Apophis Has Now Much Higher Probability of Striking the Planet Earth http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/ Homeboy's astronomy blog provides astronomy howto and technical articles for amateurs and beginners in astronomy Sun, 07 Sep 2008 18:28:19 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5 By: marko http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-891 marko Sun, 20 Jul 2008 14:43:59 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-891 TheZoo, I am very sorry for this late reply, but if you are still reading my blog, please tell me the answer for the joke. I really would like to hear it :) TheZoo, I am very sorry for this late reply, but if you are still reading my blog, please tell me the answer for the joke. I really would like to hear it :)

]]> By: TheZoo http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-852 TheZoo Thu, 05 Jun 2008 14:40:51 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-852 When the original story came out years ago the NASA scientist were quickly discredited and disappeared and a NASA article about how lucky we would be on Friday 13 and how fun it would be to look up and see this object skipping by came out within hours. Their quick and absolute denial of the original and this proposed calculation should make anyone pause. Anything can cause a change of course between now and then let alone a man made object. But the ethical issue is do we want to know. I'd much prefer a smaller window of 3 days or so notice of such a devastating event. The human race simply can't handle the moral realities associated with such an event and their will be chaos (notice present tense - no way NASA will be able to contain this in about 20 years when the should"a", would"a", could"a" 's come out). In any regard I applaud Nico for the braveness of it all. It's just too bad NASA doesn't hire him to help run their calculations for the Mars Rover campaign. I'm sure he'll stick to the metric system.........or helping them fix their only toliet in outer space. Hey did you hear the new joke?? How many astronauts does it take to fix the only toliet in outer space.......... When the original story came out years ago the NASA scientist were quickly discredited and disappeared and a NASA article about how lucky we would be on Friday 13 and how fun it would be to look up and see this object skipping by came out within hours. Their quick and absolute denial of the original and this proposed calculation should make anyone pause. Anything can cause a change of course between now and then let alone a man made object. But the ethical issue is do we want to know. I’d much prefer a smaller window of 3 days or so notice of such a devastating event. The human race simply can’t handle the moral realities associated with such an event and their will be chaos (notice present tense - no way NASA will be able to contain this in about 20 years when the should”a”, would”a”, could”a” ’s come out). In any regard I applaud Nico for the braveness of it all. It’s just too bad NASA doesn’t hire him to help run their calculations for the Mars Rover campaign. I’m sure he’ll stick to the metric system………or helping them fix their only toliet in outer space. Hey did you hear the new joke?? How many astronauts does it take to fix the only toliet in outer space……….

]]> By: marko http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-805 marko Fri, 09 May 2008 09:23:29 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-805 B. Hunt, thanks for visiting and leaving your comment! I agree with you. Although I would be surprised to hear, it is possible that NASA doesn't want to cause panic. Anyhow, I believe the truth is that this German youngster did not calculate correctly as stated alter by NASA. All in all, 1/450 would be very high probability. In that case it pass our planet very near. B. Hunt, thanks for visiting and leaving your comment!

I agree with you. Although I would be surprised to hear, it is possible that NASA doesn’t want to cause panic. Anyhow, I believe the truth is that this German youngster did not calculate correctly as stated alter by NASA.

All in all, 1/450 would be very high probability. In that case it pass our planet very near.

]]> By: B. Hunt http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-800 B. Hunt Thu, 08 May 2008 02:21:22 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-800 Haha... What a surprise.... I think NASA intentionally miffed the calculations, because as an organization they are EXTREMELY paranoid about inciting any panic. If the 1/450 chance is true, I think they would plan to keep it quiet until they determine how to deal with i t. They're probably tracking other objects like Apophis that we haven't heard about, and won't until they've assessed the threat, and determined if we can deal with it or not. If we can't you probably won't hear about it, until the asteroid hits. Haha… What a surprise….

I think NASA intentionally miffed the calculations, because as an organization they are EXTREMELY paranoid about inciting any panic.

If the 1/450 chance is true, I think they would plan to keep it quiet until they determine how to deal with i t.

They’re probably tracking other objects like Apophis that we haven’t heard about, and won’t until they’ve assessed the threat, and determined if we can deal with it or not. If we can’t you probably won’t hear about it, until the asteroid hits.

]]> By: marko http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-746 marko Fri, 18 Apr 2008 09:37:35 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-746 Arnold, thank you for the information. This is interesting and makes me thinking if the real probability is high and NASA wants to prevent hysteria. I might be wrong. Anyhow, for further speculation we should see how this young boy has calculated his estimation. Arnold, thank you for the information. This is interesting and makes me thinking if the real probability is high and NASA wants to prevent hysteria. I might be wrong. Anyhow, for further speculation we should see how this young boy has calculated his estimation.

]]> By: Arnold http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-744 Arnold Thu, 17 Apr 2008 14:19:15 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-744 Marko: Here's some late-breaking news on this story. NASA has issued an official denial. See http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008-063 . Marko: Here’s some late-breaking news on this story. NASA has issued an official denial. See http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008-063 .

]]> By: Arnold http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-743 Arnold Thu, 17 Apr 2008 14:15:21 +0000 http://homeboyastronomy.com/2008/04/17/killer-asteroid-apophis-has-now-much-higher-probability-of-striking-the-planet-earth/#comment-743 Marko: The Register (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/04/16/esa_german_schoolboy_apophis_denial/) yesterday reports that the European Space Agency denied this story. The ESA never confirmed Marquardt's numbers. The odds remain at 1 in 45 000. Marko:

The Register (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/04/16/esa_german_schoolboy_apophis_denial/) yesterday reports that the European Space Agency denied this story. The ESA never confirmed Marquardt’s numbers. The odds remain at 1 in 45 000.

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